Date: Thu, 21 Apr 2011 10:36:54 +0800 From: Adrian Chadd <adrian@creative.net.au> Subject: Re: Bandwidth growth To: "Patrick W. Gilmore" <patrick@ianai.net> Cc: NANOG list <nanog@nanog.org> Message-ID: <20110421023654.GE13776@skywalker.creative.net.au> Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
If it's a true research project, wouldn't you really be interested in both evidence for/against? :-)
Just my 2c here,
Adrian
Touche. Fortunately not being in the academic world allows me to be completely biased! :) But your point is well taken, and I'll take evidence for either side. I appreciate all of the responses I've received thus far. Especially the links to the IX graphs. While I agree you can't account for peering/de-peering, it also strikes me that on the aggregate the graphs do indeed show a significant increase around the "holidays" (the US ones anyway). The LINX, TORIX, and SIX graphs provided earlier, for example, seem relatively flat until the Nov. timeframe at which point they seem to seek a new higher "normal". Could just be my lack of sleep and my biased opinion though. As one might infer, I'm trying to find evidence corroborating my own experiences. My theory being that all of those cool Internet connected toys (Blue Ray, TVs, Ipads, etc) that hit the market this past year have lead to a substantial increase in residential Internet traffic. If that were true, I guess I'd expect that enterprise oriented service providers would not see the same uptick as residential providers. Thanks again to all have responded (and anyone else that might still). David *************************************************************************************** The information contained in this message, including attachments, may contain privileged or confidential information that is intended to be delivered only to the person identified above. If you are not the intended recipient, or the person responsible for delivering this message to the intended recipient, Windstream requests that you immediately notify the sender and asks that you do not read the message or its attachments, and that you delete them without copying or sending them to anyone else.
"Curran, David" <David.Curran@windstream.com> wrote on 04/21/2011 08:52:29 AM:
... it also strikes me that on the aggregate the graphs do indeed show a significant increase around the "holidays" (the US ones anyway).
Another bias? :-) Seems Internet participants took some time off for Christmas: https://stats.linx.net/aggregate.html http://www.seattleix.net/agg.htm Joe
The LINX, TORIX, and SIX graphs provided earlier, for example, seem relatively flat until the Nov. timeframe at which point they seem to seek a new higher "normal". Could just be my lack of sleep and my biased opinion though. As one might infer, I'm trying to find evidence corroborating my own experiences. My theory being that all of those cool Internet connected toys (Blue Ray, TVs, Ipads, etc) that hit the market this past year have lead to a substantial increase in residential Internet traffic. If that were true, I guess I'd expect that enterprise oriented service providers would not see the same uptick as residential
-----Original Message----- From: Curran, David [mailto:David.Curran@windstream.com] providers.
Thanks again to all have responded (and anyone else that might still).
David
David, you may also want to try to correlate the addition of participants to the peering fabric to bandwidth growth. I know TorIX shows on their main page the date when new participants joined the exchange. http://www.torix.net/ For example, Microsoft jointed on 9/3/10. You may be able to see a rise in usage shortly after. Thanks Sameer
participants (3)
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Curran, David
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Joe Loiacono
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Sameer Khosla