>>>>>>>>>>>>> forwarded message: ... There are other analysts (myself among them) who anticipate the number of North Amercan ISP's to grow by a third this year from around 2,000 to around 3,000. Yes, there is some consolidation, but this is very little in relation to the entry of new ISP's into the market. ...
>>>>>>>>>>>>> forwarded message: ... I see ISPs going down all the time. Plus, with all the new ones coming on line, they will not make it like the older times. Unless they can compete on service. Even though we are $8.50 more in one city, we get the customers from the other ISP everytime. ...
Well, one study I came across talks about a major shake-out over the next few years resulting in about 200 ISPs by 2000. It projects a decline in the number of ISPs beginning early 1997. Of course,some might say, a five-year projection is just about meaningless in a field such as this..... -Mulugu ========================================================= Mulugu Srinivasarao Tel : 703/904-2013 SprintLink Engineering Fax : 703/904-2292 Sprint, GSD Bldg.
On Tue, 9 Apr 1996, Srinivasarao Mulugu wrote:
There are other analysts (myself among them) who anticipate the number of North Amercan ISP's to grow by a third this year from around 2,000 to around 3,000. Yes, there is some consolidation, but this is very little in relation to the entry of new ISP's into the market.
Well, one study I came across talks about a major shake-out over the next few years resulting in about 200 ISPs by 2000. It projects a decline in the number of ISPs beginning early 1997.
Of course,some might say, a five-year projection is just about meaningless in a field such as this.....
That's right. The Internet market and the Internet industry is still growing by leaps and bounds. In order for a significant shakeout to occur, that exponential growth curve has to level off. Even then there is every possibility that there will be plenty of room for the small local ISP especially when you understand how an ISP operation can be integrated with a number of other computer/networking oriented businesses. Michael Dillon Voice: +1-604-546-8022 Memra Software Inc. Fax: +1-604-546-3049 http://www.memra.com E-mail: michael@memra.com
On Tue, 9 Apr 1996, Srinivasarao Mulugu wrote:
There are other analysts (myself among them) who anticipate the number of North Amercan ISP's to grow by a third this year from around 2,000 to around 3,000. Yes, there is some consolidation, but this is very little in relation to the entry of new ISP's into the market.
Well, one study I came across talks about a major shake-out over the next few years resulting in about 200 ISPs by 2000. It projects a decline in the number of ISPs beginning early 1997.
Of course,some might say, a five-year projection is just about meaningless in a field such as this.....
That's right. The Internet market and the Internet industry is still growing by leaps and bounds. In order for a significant shakeout to occur, that exponential growth curve has to level off. Even then there is every possibility that there will be plenty of room for the small local ISP especially when you understand how an ISP operation can be integrated with a number of other computer/networking oriented businesses.
Agreed completely. At the Interop "show", about 1/3 of the visitors we received at our booth were interested in starting up their own ISP. Funny how most of them really knew very little about the industry. Most are presuming that it is young, which is true, and that it will still be easy to get into the industry... which is simply not true. As long as Wall Street likes the Internet, the industry will continue to grow by leaps and bounds. When they decide it is no longer trendy/profitable then we'll notice most of the garage ISPs will disappear. I am interested in a clarification of the 2000 ISPs that exist. What is the definition of ISP as used in that calculation? Am I an ISP at home because I share my ISDN with family and friends? Are web hosting service providers ISPs? Dunno.. Rob Robert Bowman Sr. Hole Plugger Exodus Communications Inc. rob@exodus.net (408) 522-8473
On Wed, 10 Apr 1996, Robert Bowman wrote:
---- other forwarded messages deleted ---
As long as Wall Street likes the Internet, the industry will continue to grow by leaps and bounds. When they decide it is no longer trendy/profitable then we'll notice most of the garage ISPs will disappear.
...
Conventinal investment wisdom is you sink in the big $s, gain market share, sit tight and let the cash cow bring in profits...sometimes for a decade or more... and in some rare cases this was true for data communications as well. In the case of Internet however, you invest, build the network, you try for market share, you UPGRADE (i.e. invest more), you try for more market share, you UPGRADE again, etc. T-1 to DS-3 to OC-3 and beyond... Bigger, Better, Faster... The two to three year investment cycle seems inevitable.. One can only wonder as to how long it will remain palatable to investors. -Mulugu ========================================================= Mulugu Srinivasarao Tel : 703/904-2013 SprintLink Engineering Fax : 703/904-2292 Sprint, GSD Bldg.
On Tue, 9 Apr 1996, Srinivasarao Mulugu wrote:
Well, one study I came across talks about a major shake-out over the next few years resulting in about 200 ISPs by 2000. It projects a decline in the number of ISPs beginning early 1997.
Now that we are talking about studies, I have read that the number will drop by the end of this year. This will be because of the number of ISPS that can't handle tech support for their customers, new stuff coming to the market, or even handle the demands of UNIX... Christian Nielsen Vyzynz International Inc. cnielsen@vii.com,CN46,KB7HAP Phone 801-568-0999 Fax 801-568-0953 Private Email - Christian@Nielsen.Net BOFH - cnielsen@one.dot PS :)
participants (4)
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Christian Nielsen -
Michael Dillon -
Robert Bowman -
Srinivasarao Mulugu