On Thu, 21 Nov 2002, David Schwartz wrote:
Suppose, for example, we'd had closed cockpit doors. The 9/11 terrorists would have threatened the lives of the passengers and crew to induce the pilots to open the doors. The pilots would have opened the doors because the reasoning until that time was that you did whatever the hostages told you to do until you could get the plane on the ground.
It was the rules of engagement that failed. Nothing more, nothing less.
In the "regular" skyjacking the attackers want to get ransom, or divert an airplane to someplace. They'll get cooperation from pilots, too - without any need to be present in the cockpit. So if it is known that the policy is not to let anyone in, no matter what happens to passengers, the attackers wouldn't even try. In fact, they don't, on airlines which have this policy. Letting deranged people in cockpit, in fact, places _all_ passengers at risk of an unintended crash (imagine an attacker getting agitated and killing pilots, or simply pulling knobs - there were incidents when _little kids_ allowed to cockpit crashed the commercial planes). The rules of engagement were patently absurd
and then by making life truly miserable for those who wish or have to travel, in a fit of post-disaster paranoia.
The airline industry did that?
Your mileage may wary, but I do not find pleasure in being stripped in public just because I've got long hair. As I result I'm avoiding all air travel, if I can. I'm sure a lot of other people do that too.
It is not enemies who are savvy, it is managers who are stupid. Like, the "crash airplane into some high-value target" scenario was well-aired more than decade ago
Not the "crash jetliner full of passengers into high-value target" scenario.
Heh. Our friends Chechens told than in a TV interview back in 1995 that they intend to do precisely that. They identified Kremlin as a target, though. And Israelis as a matter of fact assume that attackers are on a suicide mission. And the fact that US does not exactly inspire adoration in mid-Eastern parts of the world isn't any news, too.
If you were able to make the decision to shoot down or not shoot down the two jetliners before either struck a building, knowing only that they were not responding and probably hijaacked, what would you have done?
I'd have doors in place, so as to avoid the whole situation. As I told, it is the standard procedure (keep cockpit doors closed) in much of the world outside US.
Again, it's the rules of engagement that failed.
Rules are formulated by someone, they are not God-given. That someone is patently incompetent - in both failing to notice explicit early warnings, and failing to follow on the best practices of his peers.
So tell me what they should have done differently. Not allowed knives on the plane? The terrorists would have used their bare hands. Strip searched every passenger? Arm their pilots -- they weren't allowed to.
I repeat: have doors closed, period. As for "they weren't allowed" part - don't be ridiculous. This is an oligopoly situation, and so they pretty much can get their terms from the government - just look at those multibillion handouts.
I hope that US airlines go out of business and El Al moves in; isn't that what competition is supposed to be about?
Except that there is no competition. Airlines don't get to make their own security rules, they're largely preempted by the government ownership and control of airports and the FARs.
It takes two to tango. If those large businesses cannot get the reasonable rules from the government, their lobbying groups are incompetent (and so they deserve to go out of business). More likely, they didn't ask. Competition is not only about having seats filled - it is also about dealing with governments, courts, media, etc.
The same holds for the Internet (with special thanks to the toothless antimonopoly enforcement which allowed operating systems to become a monoculture).
This is a great bit of double-think. It has nothing to do with the fact that people overwhelmingly prefer to have compatible operating systems, it's the fact that nobody forced them to diversify against their will.
Huh? MS was found guilty of monopolistic practices - repeatedly. They also are quite ruthless in going out and strangling competition (just watch their anti-Linux FUD campaign). If you think they are deterred, just take a look at the Palladium thingie - a sure-fire public domain OS killer. In fact, given the enormous positive network externalities associated with the operating systems, it would make a lot of sense to the government to level the playing field with affirmative action - for example, by differential taxation of dominant and sub-dominant vendors. The government procurement could've been more intent on having second supplier of compatible OS software, too - that'd force MS to publish detailed specs on all interfaces, and prevent them from playing proprietary lock-in games. Or give up government market altogether. People overwhelmingly do not care what's inside; they buy _applications_; and given the overwhelmingly monopolistic presense of OS vendor on the market the app vendors have little reason to develop for non-MS market. Of course, the position of MS as the monopoly vendor is supported by the fact that majority of other vendors only have Windows versions of their apps. To secure that unassailable position, MS excludes other parties from developing compatible platforms for running these applications by deliberately hiding, obscuring, and tweaking the APIs. I'm sorry to say, but the "free" market (not that there ever been one) does not always produce sustainable results; and the task of government regulators is to identify those situations and act to prevent them. In this case, the situation was easy to spot, but the reaction was quite botched by stupid (if not to say - incompetent) things, like overly talkative judge. --vadim
On Fri, 22 Nov 2002 16:31:30 -0800 (PST), Vadim Antonov wrote:
In the "regular" skyjacking the attackers want to get ransom, or divert an airplane to someplace. They'll get cooperation from pilots, too - without any need to be present in the cockpit. So if it is known that the policy is not to let anyone in, no matter what happens to passengers, the attackers wouldn't even try. In fact, they don't, on airlines which have this policy. Letting deranged people in cockpit, in fact, places _all_ passengers at risk of an unintended crash (imagine an attacker getting agitated and killing pilots, or simply pulling knobs - there were incidents when _little kids_ allowed to cockpit crashed the commercial planes).
The rules of engagement were patently absurd
Let me see if I understand you correctly. You have a mentally disturbed man with two guns and a belt full of bullets on a plane. He wants to speak to the pilot face-to-face. He says if the pilots don't come out, he's going to shoot the 236 passengers one-by-one. If you were the pilot, before 9/11, how many passengers would you let him shoot before you came out? And what consequences would you expect to face when/if you landed safely? I'm sorry, your reasoning might apply to some fantasy world but it would not have seemed sensible to any rational person in the United States prior to those terrorist attacks. They succeeded because nobody was expecting them. As soon as anyone expected them, they failed. This is why Todd Beamer's plane didn't reach its target. [snip] As for your arguments about the benefits of government intervention in the computer market and other types of social engineering, I just hope people like you stay out of power. At least Microsoft only uses their own resources to push their vision of the future. You are welcome to use yours to push yours. DS
participants (2)
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David Schwartz
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Vadim Antonov