On Sep 15, 2022, at 21:09 , Rubens Kuhl <rubensk@gmail.com> wrote:

On Fri, Sep 16, 2022 at 11:55 AM William Herrin <bill@herrin.us> wrote:

On Thu, Sep 15, 2022 at 8:51 PM Rubens Kuhl <rubensk@gmail.com> wrote:
On Fri, Sep 16, 2022 at 10:56 AM William Herrin <bill@herrin.us> wrote:
Well, I'm one of the people who'd publish RPKI records for my /23 if I
had the ability to do so and I definitely would NOT pay merit $595/yr
(let alone $1k or $2k) to gain that ability. YMMV but I'm willing to
bet there's not enough money out there to fund it with direct user
fees and even if there was, the level of participation in the presence
of more than trivial user fees would be too low to be worth the
effort.

Your /23 is worth only USD 30k, so you are definitely not in a
position to find that affordable.
It seems ARIN LRSA with the current fees and caps would be the best
option, and that option has a time limit.

No, the best option for me right now is that I just don't participate
in RPKI and the system has one less participant. And that's a shame.

That's only true in the current environment where RPKI is only used to
invalidate bogus routes. When any reachability for RPKI-unknowns is
lost, that will change. But it will be too late then to join the
system, so you just sell it for USD 50k and start using NAT.

I think that the likelihood of that happening while IPv4 is still important is very near 0%.

Just a calculation: current LRSA fee is USD 150, cap is 25 USD per
year increase. 2X-Small is USD 500 per year, so it will take 14 years
to reach that level. Pick your poison, NAT or LRSA.

Neither… I am pretty convinced that neither one will be necessary.

Owen