Stephen Balbach writes:
I doubt it. The curve is racing upward now because of all the people who are suddenly connecting to the net. Once a large fraction of them are on the curve will slow dramatically -- demand for bandwidth will continue to increase, but only as fast as the customers can eat it, which is by definition related to how fast their equipment runs. [...] constraint will always drive bandwidth to higher speeds. Thus it follows Moore's Law as chips get faster, so will computers and conversly - bandwidth. There is no end in sight for the need of more bandwidth.
If you had read what I wrote carefully, my claim was simply once everyone is connected at reasonable speed, demand for bandwidth will rise as fast as the equipment can cope with it, but no faster. I thus already addressed your point. Perry