On Sun, Aug 29, 2021 at 8:44 PM Masataka Ohta <mohta@necom830.hpcl.titech.ac.jp> wrote:

[ clip]

As

        ICP-2: Criteria for Establishment of New Regional
        Internet Registries
        https://www.icann.org/resources/pages/new-rirs-criteria-2012-02-25-en
        2) The new RIR must demonstrate that it has the broad
        support of the LIRs (ISP community) in the proposed region

if overwhelming majority, which means there is no competition,
of LIRs in AfriNIC region request to abandon AfriNIC and to
have an alternate RIR, ICANN should honor the request.

> For another, they are extremely allergic to
> anything that might even possibly involve them in a lawsuit.
ICANN was established to protect governance structure (including
RIRs, of course) of the Internet free from government (especially
USG) interventions. As such, ICANN is expected to work to isolate
African RIR operations from existing lawsuit.


%s/isolate/move/g functions. That equates to a leadership change. It may be too soon to suggest that ICANN has any role other than risk analysis and coordination of mitigation. I'm not even certain if that's their role seeing how complicated the relationships between the RIR's and ICANN is.  I've seen good summaries including John Currans and Milton Muellers. I've been leaning towards Milton's view. He didn't pardon Afrinic, but he also didn't suggest it's time to fold up shop there.

A fight over crumbs: The Afrinic Crisis

https://www.internetgovernance.org/2021/08/19/a-fight-over-crumbs-the-afrinic-crisis/

<queue JC who knows more about what ICANN can do than I>

Warm regards,

-M<