On 3/26/21 19:58, Randy Bush wrote:
in 2010, the internet society made some videos on possible internet
futures ten years out, i.e. nowish. nothing spot on, but themes
can be seen for sure.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PB4zfGwctGc
The production style alone takes me back. I
never owned a Blackberry, but I just thought about it :-).
- They were right about platforms becoming
important (tablets, mobile phones, wearables, e.t.c.). What
they didn't foresee was that platforms and traditional OS's
would be outdone by the app. The app is now everything, and
all platforms and OS's strive to do is make sure the app is
front & centre, dulling the hardware and software
fundamentals into the background.
- I can see why they envisaged the Internet
getting broken up into partitioned islands. What they didn't
account for was that telco's would no longer be in charge of
building the global network at scale, but rather, content
folk.
- They put a bit of stock in classic news
still being relevant 10 years on. I can see why. But hell,
social media took care of that problem :-).
- Where I would agree one of their
assumptions "may" align with one niche - the newspaper - in
2021, is that news content will not be restricted to
professional journalists, but also to regular folk who are
granted some kind of access to publish on the digital version
of a reputable paper. This, of course, is only if traditional
news media still wants to promote the idea that quality news
actually matters.
If the last decade is anything to go by, I'm
keen to see what the next one brings.
Mark.