On Mon, 6 Feb 2006, Bora Akyol wrote:
He hasn't taken broadcast TV delivery into account in the Triple Play scenario. You gotta plumb them packets good for that...
I don't watch anything live anymore, all via Tivo. If Tivo could do bittorrent and download the content, then would I need broadcast?
Broadcast remains an extremely efficient method for bulk distribution of content to those TiVo's even if you watch everything on a delay. Some grad student can probably write a thesis what the cross-over point is for different use conditions. FedEx vs. P2P vs. Unicast vs. Broadcast vs. ??? I think BitTorrent is successfull because that's where the content people want is. I don't think users actually care much about the protocols. We've seen how fickle users can be, quickly migrating to different protocols/applications depending on where the content they want is. Are there any Gopher servers left?
TV model is going to change significantly in the next 3-5 years.
I'll agree, but I have no idea how. Most of the predictions will be wrong, they always are. I've seen a lot of cool future stuff from various companies and individual inventors. But it will be the consumer that decides the winners.