On Wed, Jul 25, 2007 at 07:52:19PM +0800, Adrian Chadd wrote:
On Wed, Jul 25, 2007, Stephen Wilcox wrote:
Lack of IPv4 addresses will put the brakes on growth of the Internet which will have a major impact on revenue growth. Before long stock market analysts are going to be asking tough questions, and CEOs are suddenly going to see the IPv6 light.
What exactly will cease to grow tho? The 4 billion IPs that have always been around will continue to be. I think you overestimate the effects..
All the existing big businesses can operate with what they already have, Google and Yahoo are not going to face any sort of crisis for the foreseeable future. And as I've been saying for a while and Randy put in his presentation, supply and demand will simply cause the cost of having public IPs to go up from zero to something tiny - enough to see IPs being put back into the pool to those who really need them.
I'm not sure what your definition of "really tiny" is, but out here IPs are a dollar or two each a year from APNIC. I'm sure ARIN's IP charges aren't $0.00.
RIPE is a couple thousands Euros to be an LIR which gets you all the IPs you need.. $1/yr is like 8c/month - well into the realm of being sunk into the cost when you provide a hosting service or DSL line. Its close enough to zero to be lost in the overheads of any business operation. Now, if you suddenly charge $2.50/mo to have a public IP or $15/mo for a /28 it does become a consideration to the customer as to if they _REALLY_ need it Steve