On Fri, Mar 11, 2022 at 7:15 AM Abraham Y. Chen <aychen@avinta.com> wrote:
Dear Ca By:
1) It appears that you are reading the Google graph too optimistically, or incorrectly. That is, the highest peaks of the graph are about 38%. The average of the graph is about 36%. Citing "over 40%" from these is a gross exaggeration. In fact, the peaks were reached on weekends and holidays due to more residential usage, you can clearly see such by zooming into the graph. In addition, the graph has been exhibiting an asymptomatic trend ever since a few years back. The COVID-19 pushed this graph up a bit due to the lock-down and work-from-home factors. Below was an analysis pre-pandemic:
Sorry for being imprecise in my communication, the number is 46% in the USA.
https://circleid.com/posts/20190529_digging_into_ipv6_traffic_to_google_is_2...
2) Since Google is one of the stronger IPv6 promoters, usage of IPv6 outside of the Google domain can only be lower, by simple logic deduction.
Google’s number represents how many users reach it over ipv6. Given Google’s ubiquity in the usa, it is a fair barometer for the usa at large. This data is helpful for content providers estimating demand for ipv6 (46% of users will use ipv6 if it is available) and for the network operator community to understand where their peers sit. In summary, there is a lot of ipv6 on the usa internet today. Almost half for Google, per their published numbers. Over 75% end to end ipv6 on some large mobile networks. Hence my appeal to view published data. Reading anecdotal Nanog mails from a handful of folks concluding ipv6 has failed will not leave the passive impartial observer with an accurate view. Regards,
Abe (2022-03-11 10:11)
------------------------------ NANOG Digest, Vol 170, Issue 12
Message: 12 Date: Thu, 10 Mar 2022 08:00:17 -0800 From: Ca By <cb.list6@gmail.com> <cb.list6@gmail.com> To: Saku Ytti <saku@ytti.fi> <saku@ytti.fi> Cc: Joe Greco <jgreco@ns.sol.net> <jgreco@ns.sol.net>, nanog@nanog.org Subject: Re: V6 still not supported (was Re: CC: s to Non List Members (was Re: 202203080924.AYC Re: 202203071610.AYC Re: Making Use of 240/4 NetBlock)) Message-ID: <CAD6AjGTyQT-OMq_KXxFe-sozWq3mSJ5gC_tKswdpJpi7mMEwFQ@mail.gmail.com> <CAD6AjGTyQT-OMq_KXxFe-sozWq3mSJ5gC_tKswdpJpi7mMEwFQ@mail.gmail.com> Content-Type: text/plain; charset="utf-8"
On Wed, Mar 9, 2022 at 11:56 PM Saku Ytti <saku@ytti.fi> <saku@ytti.fi> wrote:
On Wed, 9 Mar 2022 at 21:00, Joe Greco <jgreco@ns.sol.net> <jgreco@ns.sol.net> wrote:
I really never thought it'd be 2022 and my networks would be still heavily v4. Mind boggling.
Same. And if we don't voluntarily agree to do something to it, it'll be the same in 2042, we fucked up and those who come after us pay the price of the insane amount of work and cost dual stack causes.
It is solvable, easily and cheaply, like most problems (energy, climate), but not when so many poor leaders participate in decision making.
-- ++ytti
Ah, the quarterly ipv6 thread? where i remind you all? most of the USA is on ipv6 (all your smartphone, many of your home router, a growing amount of your clouds [i see you aws]) https://www.worldipv6launch.org/measurements/
Google sees over 40% of their users on ipv6, with superior latency https://www.google.com/intl/en/ipv6/statistics.html