At 07:37 AM 4/03/2006, Marshall Eubanks wrote:
On Mar 3, 2006, at 5:55 AM, Kurt Erik Lindqvist wrote:
On 2 mar 2006, at 06.16, Kevin Day wrote:
No, I'm just trying to be practical here... Estimates of IPv4 pool exhaustion range from Mid 2008 (Tony Hain's ARIN presentation) to roughly 2012 (Geoff Huston's ARIN presentation). Sooner if a mad dash for space starts happening (or isn't happening already).
Does anyone here really believe that there is time for:
So what I think we might need (that I wrote in an internet-draft some years ago) is the following things in exactly this order :
0. PI space with an artifically high barrier on entry yet available when needed (read cost+administration=LIR or equiv.). 1. Ducttape ala shim6 2. One of breakthrough in graph-theory or a completely new addressing/routing paradigm. Most like the latter.
I will bet anyone reading this $ 20 USD right now that what will actually happen is the development of a spot market in IPv4 address space.
That was part of the speculative component of my report at the time, and, no, I won't be lining up to take your bet - I agree with you that such a market is pretty much an inevitably. Of course you could always start a futures market right now! cheers, Geoff .