### On Tue, 20 Jun 2006 09:13:16 -0700, "William B. Norton" ### <bill.norton@gmail.com> casually decided to expound upon nanog@merit.edu ### the following thoughts about "Internet 2010 - Predictions for 2010 from ### a Content Forum and NANOG 37 in San Jose": WBN> Content Provider Predictions for 2010 WBN> ------------------------------------------------------ WBN> Here is the question I put to a group of Content Providers at a content forum: WBN> WBN> "We are sitting around this table in 2010 and we are commenting how WBN> remarkable the last few years have been, specifically that:" I think it might have been hedged upon in the responses you heard but I'm suprised it wasn't specifically mentioned that there will be a rise in customized content aggregation at the consumer level supported by mobility aspects. Think of RSS feeds but on steroids. This will be promoted by the next generation of portable PIM and communication devices (3G/4G?). It will incorporate the ability to rogram or dynamically figure out a "workflow" for pulling content (or setting up content services for specific push) and will be situationally aware for the user so as to present the right things in the right format at the right time through the right interface. A simple example: You're walking down the street and get hungry. You pick up your phone and "tell" it to find you a nearby restaurant that serves gyros. The phone would consult from its local cache of inromation and if it throws a miss, will go out to one of the local searches and after exchanging your locale, will get the names and locations of several restaurants in the area. It will also have gotten the directions to them from where you are. It also knows that you are on foot so it will calculate several transportation options depending on what's available including walking, taxi, busses, trams, etc. Say you pick the bus. it will then determine where the busses are and when the next available one will arrive by consulting the bus service's information server which tracks bus locations via GPS. It can even be smart enough to determine if that bus will have seats available by a combination of usage pattern data gathered over the last week for the time of day and the current number of riders on the bus. It will then signal the bus to stop at the closest stop to you and also tell you how to get to the bus stop. At the same time, it'll go out and do other things like search for the wait-time at the restaurant, pull up a menu, gather reviews of the food, make reservations if necessary... etc. Now mind you that you might not use all the information that's being gathered but it will still be available. In addition to performing these tasks for just the immediate need, the phone may also be constantly updating itself with news stories (in a multimedia format) so you can read during your trip to the restaurant. If an accident occurs that's along your bus route, it will determine if the bus service intends to reroute around it and also calculate alternate routes for you so you can get off at another stop and take some other form of multimodal transportation to your destination. Although I've just describe the function of but one device in one specific situation, you can see the content access is numerous and diverse. And of course all this information will need to be compiled and presented in a unified integrated format that's easy for the user to quickly digest without getting information overload. Now maybe the device doesn't do this all by itself. Maybe it talks to an information broker service which simply streams the precompiled content back. Now despite everything I've written above, I've only very lightly touched the surface. WBN> Internet Service Providers Predictions for 2010 WBN> ------------------------------------------------------------------ WBN> WBN> "We are sitting around this table in 2010 at NANOG and we are WBN> commenting how remarkable the last few years have been, specifically WBN> that:" Given the example from above, content providers will require more geodiversity/georedundancy. Local peering will become increasingly important... especially with the wireless carriers. ISPs will have to become more savvy with regards to IP mobility. This will probably be the eventual driver for native IPv6 deployment. Customers will engage in more dynamic traffic shaping at the CPE. There will be an increase in service-based peering clubs/unions. There will be ann increase in demand for seamless layer-1 handoff. The ability to go from wireline to wireless to content push direct to a third-party display and input interface will become smoother regardless of how the end devices are network homed. -- /*===================[ Jake Khuon <khuon@NEEBU.Net> ]======================+ | Packet Plumber, Network Engineers /| / [~ [~ |) | | --------------- | | for Effective Bandwidth Utilisation / |/ [_ [_ |) |_| N E T W O R K S | +=========================================================================*/