Also as you know I have been running statistics at http://www.completewhois.com/statistics/ (note: dont believe about "green" for 70/8, I still have not fixed collection to ignore occasional single wrong announcements from routeviews) Its interesting that 69/8 block is currently only 39% allocated. To be honest I was not expecting ARIN to request another block under such condition, I was expecting when its either almost full (say 75%) or when it reaches previously agreed upon mark of 50% (see my other post). The only thing I could think of is that ARIN is allocating smaller block leaving some portion of the block "in reserve" for future allocation to the same entity and as a result it reached "critical point" of beyond 50 percent point of the block. So I checked and found that 69.128.0.0/18 was actually allocated on 2003-03-25. Checking again, it turns out the last (in terms of beginning) allocation they have is 69.178.0.0/17 made on 2004-01-13. Ok so 0-178 makes it 70% used for that class-a as far as point they reached for allocations. Now if I only knew for certain if this was indeed the formula they used deciding when to request new ip block, we could easily predict when next block would be requested and based on rate of growth for existing block even predict this several months ahead of time. On Mon, 19 Jan 2004 william@elan.net wrote:
It has been known for quite some time that next block to be allocated to ARIN is 70/8 (and next one will be 71/8). It might have been nice if ARIN were to run projections and inform community that by its projections it will be requesting new /8 ip block in say 2 month time.
On Mon, 19 Jan 2004, Daniel Karrenberg wrote:
On 16.01 13:13, jlewis@lewis.org wrote:
... Alternatively, the RIRs might consider doing this sort of thing before allocating IPs from new blocks. I know it's not their job to make sure IPs are routable (especially not on every remote network), but as holders of all the IPs, they are in the best position to setup such test sites that would expose problems before they're dumped on members.
Personally I agree with you and I will argue accordingly in the relevant places. Cooperation with the bogon project seems logical too.
Daniel