On Thu, Jul 26, 2007 at 01:25:51PM -0400, John Curran wrote:
At 2:01 PM +0100 7/26/07, Stephen Wilcox wrote:
well, the empirical data which is confirmed here is saying that those 10% are burning most of the v4 addresses and we are not seeing them rollout v6 whether they 'need to' or not
Wow... you mean that they're not announcing general IPv6 availability two years before they have to? I'm so surprised. ;-)
they need to be announcing availability well in advance of a forced need to transition and based on the projected timescales 2 yrs in advance has already passed them by
so you sound right in theory, but in practice your data doesnt show that is occuring and it also suggests those 10% are actively supporting 'the wall' approach.
The number of major backbone operators looking into IPv6 is already quite high, and will likely approach 100%. The alternative is carriers having to explain to the analyst community that they lack a business plan for new data customer growth once large IPv4 blocks are no longer generally available.
ah yes of course.. looking into, producing reports. but where are they at really? : - how many of those have obtained address space sufficient to cover their customer base already? - how many of those networks have made the trivial step of announcing their v6 blocks in BGP? - how many of them have already got native v6 running in their backbones and on their services (mail, dns etc).. fundemental advance prerequisites to any complicated end user deployment i think the number with one of the above is a reasonable percentage, with two of the above is small and three of the above.. are there any? Steve