[ http://archive.psg.com/110904.broadside.html ] Do Not Complicate Routing Security with Voodoo Economics a broadside A recent NANOG presentation and SIGCOMM paper by Gill, Schapira, and Goldberg[1] drew a lot of 'discussion' from the floor. But that discussion missed significant problems with this work. I raise this because of fear that uncritical acceptance of this work will be used as the basis for others' work, or worse, misguided public policy. o The ISP economic and incentive model is overly naive to the point of being misleading, o The security threat model is unrealistic and misguided, and o The simulations are questionable. Basic ISP economics are quite different from those described by the authors. Above the tail links to paying customers, the expenses of inter-provider traffic are often higher than the income, thanks to the telcos' race to the bottom. In this counter-intuitive world, transit can often be cheaper than peering. I.e. history shows that in the rare cases where providers have been inclined to such games, they usually shed traffic not stole it, the opposite of what the paper presumes. The paper also completely ignores the rise of the content providers as described so well in SIGCOMM 2010 by Labovitz et alia[2] It is not clear how to ‘fix’ the economic model, especially as[3] says you can not do so with rigor. Once one starts, e.g. the paper may lack Tier-N peering richness which is believed to be at the edges, we have bought into the game for which there is no clear end. But this is irrelevant, what will motivate deployment of BGP security is not provider traffic-shifting. BGP security is, as its name indicates, about security, preventing data stealing (think banking transactions[4]), keeping miscreants from originating address space of others (think YouTube incident) or as attack/spam sources, etc. The largest obstacle to deployment of BGP security is that the technology being deployed, RPKI-based origin validation and later BGPsec, are based on an X.509 certificate hierarchy, the RPKI. This radically changes the current inter-ISP web of trust model to one having ISPs' routing at the mercy of the Regional Internet Registries (RIRs). Will the benefits of security - no more YouTube incidents, etc. - be perceived as worth having one's routing at the whim of an non-operational administrative monopoly? Perhaps this is the real economic game here, and will cause a change in the relationship between the operators and the RIR cartel. The paper's simulations really should be shown not to rely on the popular but highly problematic3 Gao-Rexford model of inter-provider relationships, that providers prefer customers over peers (in fact, a number of global Tier-1 providers have preferred peers for decades), and that relationships are valley free, which also has significant exceptions. Yet these invalid assumptions may underpin the simulation results. --- Randy Bush <randy@psg.com> Dubrovnik, 2011.9.4 [1] P. Gill, M. Schapira, and S. Goldberg, Let the Market Drive Deployment: A Strategy for Transitioning to BGP Security, SIGCOMM 2011, August 2011. http://conferences.sigcomm.org/sigcomm/2011/papers/sigcomm/p14.pdf [2] [1] C. Labovitz, S. Iekel-Johnson, D. McPherson, J. Oberheide, and F. Jahanian, “Internet inter-domain traffic,” in SIGCOMM '10: Proceedings of the ACM SIGCOMM 2010 conference on SIGCOMM, 2010. [3] M. Roughan, W. Willinger, O. Maennel, D. Perouli, and R. Bush, 10 Lessons from 10 Years of Measuring and Modeling the Internet's Autonomous Systems, IEEE Journal on Selected Areas in Communications, Vol. 29, No. 9, pp. 1-12, Oct. 2011. https://archive.psg.com/111000.TenLessons.pdf [4] A. Pilosov, T. Kapela. Stealing The Internet An Internet-Scale Man In The Middle Attack, Defcon 16, August, 2008. http://www.defcon.org/images/defcon-16/dc16-presentations/defcon-16-pilosov-...