I wouldn't be shocked at all if this was an element of multi-pronged lobbying approaches, reminiscent of the 'fiber to the home' tax break series that hit a handful of years back that got us pretty much nothing. Given trivial tech milestones like these: http://www.thelocal.se/7869/20070712/ (2007) http://www.lightreading.com/document.asp?doc_id=82315 (2005) I call bullshit. Besides, by 2010 we'll be staring down a global economy collapse and people will be too busy trying to find food to get online and download movies. - billn On Fri, 18 Apr 2008, Scott Francis wrote:
http://www.news.com/2100-1034_3-6237715.html
I find claims that "soon everything will be HD" somewhat dubious (working for a company that produces video for online distribution) - although certainly not as eyebrow-raising as "in 3 years' time, 20 typical households will generate more traffic than the entire Internet today". Is there some secret plan to put 40Gb ethernet to "typical households" in the next 3 years that I haven't heard about? I don't have accurate figures on how much traffic "the entire Internet" generates, but I'm fairly certain that 5% of it could not be generated by any single household regardless of equipment installed, torrents traded or videos downloaded. Even given a liberal application of Moore's Law, I doubt that would be the case in 2010 either.
Does anybody know what the basis for Mr. Cicconi's claims were (if they even had a basis at all)? Internal reports from ATT engineering? Perusal of industry news sources? IRC? A lot of scary numbers were tossed into the air without any mention of how they were derived. A cynical person might be tempted to think it was all a scare tactic to soften up legislators for the next wave of "reasonable network management" practices that just happen to have significant revenue streams attached to them ...
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