On Fri, Jun 3, 2022 at 9:12 AM Masataka Ohta <mohta@necom830.hpcl.titech.ac.jp> wrote:
Livingood, Jason via NANOG wrote:
That shows up as increased user demand (usage), which means that the CAGR will rise and get factored into future year projections.
You should recognize that Moore's law has ended.
Masataka Ohta
For a long time now... I have had the opinion that we have reached the age of "peak bandwidth", that nearly nobody's 4 person home needs more than 50Mbit with good queue management. Certainly increasing upload speeds dramatically (and making static IP addressing and saner firewalling feasible) might shift some resources from the cloud, which I'd like (anyone using tailscale here?), but despite 8k video (which nobody can discern), it's really hard to use up > 50Mbit for more than a second or three with current applications. Even projected applications like VR, or adding other senses to the internet like smell or taste, are not bandwidth intensive. Looking back 10 years, I was saying the same things, only then I felt it was 25Mbit circa mike belshe's paper. So real bandwidth requirements only doubling every decade might be a new equation to think about... ... check in with me again and wipe egg off my face in another decade. -- FQ World Domination pending: https://blog.cerowrt.org/post/state_of_fq_codel/ Dave Täht CEO, TekLibre, LLC