In a message written on Thu, Aug 09, 2007 at 04:21:37PM +0000, bmanning@vacation.karoshi.com wrote:
(1) there are technology factors we can't predict, e.g., moore's law effects on hardware development
Some of that is predictable though. I'm sitting here looking at a heavily peered exchange point router with a rather large FIB. It has in it a Pentium III 700Mhz processor. Per Wikipedia (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pentium_III) it appears they were released in late 1999 to early 2000. This box is solidly two, perhaps three, and maybe even 4 doublings behind things that are already available at your local best buy off the shelf. Heck, this chip is slower than the original Xbox chip, a $400 obsolete game console. -- Leo Bicknell - bicknell@ufp.org - CCIE 3440 PGP keys at http://www.ufp.org/~bicknell/ Read TMBG List - tmbg-list-request@tmbg.org, www.tmbg.org