None

12 Jul 2007

      1b) with SMTP id <1.002D3E52@raven.utc.edu>; Thu, 12 Jul 2007 23:19:06 -0400
Received: from [172.30.0.19] qnh116 [172.30.0.19]
        by utc.edu with NetMail SMTP Agent $Revision: 1.6 $ on Novell NetWare
        via secured & encrypted transport (TLS);
        Thu, 12 Jul 2007 23:19:06 -0400
Message-ID: <4696EF15.6020704@utc.edu>
Date: Thu, 12 Jul 2007 23:18:45 -0400
From: Jeff Kell <jeff-kell@utc.edu>
User-Agent: Thunderbird 2.0.0.4 (Windows/20070604)
MIME-Version: 1.0
To: Randy Bush <randy@psg.com>
CC: nanog@nanog.org
Subject: Re: peter lothberg's mother slashdotted
References: <12997.1184264272@sa.vix.com> <20070712133910.B8475@sprockets.gibbar
d.org> <Pine.LNX.4.64.0707122342300.29164@uplift.swm.pp.se> <4696AB85.1030407@in
oc.net> <Pine.LNX.4.64.0707130039220.29164@uplift.swm.pp.se> <4696B668.2080807@i
noc.net> <4696C8DA.3070101@bogus.com> <4696D017.7010100@inoc.net> <4696D4A2.2010
001@psg.com>
In-Reply-To: <4696D4A2.2010001@psg.com>
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=ISO-8859-1; format=flowed
Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit
Sender: owner-nanog@merit.edu
Precedence: bulk
Errors-To: owner-nanog@merit.edu
X-Loop: nanog
X-Junkmail-Status: score=10/50, host=mozart.merit.edu
X-Junkmail-SD-Raw: score=unknown,
        refid=str=0001.0A090207.4696F0B7.0062:SCGAP167720,ss=1,fgs=0,
        ip=198.108.1.26,
        so=2006-09-22 03:48:54,
        dmn=5.3.14/2007-05-31
Status: RO
X-Status:
X-Keywords: NonJunk
X-UID: 51

Randy Bush wrote:
...
...
you're not going to find any 40GB capable CPE now or in the
foreseeable future that's going to be affordable for the residence.
i would agree if we had not once said that about a few meg per sec.
If we continue along orders of magnitude, sure it's foreseeable.

* 30 years ago, 300 baud was the bomb :-)
*              3000 baud was roughly 2400bps days
*             30000 baud gets us to ~28.8k
*            300000 baud was about 2 ISDN lines (2x128k)
*           3000000 baud is about typical cable these days (3m)

That puts us about another 4 orders of magnitude (3 if you count
FTTP/etc generally available enough to count 30m as "now") away from 30G
to CPE.

I'm sure there are more accurate timelines :-)

Jeff